Tagged: Kentrail Davis

Bold 2013 Predictions for Brewers’ Top 15 Prospects


TopProspects2013

The Brewers’ minor league system has  had two seasons to recover from the Zack Greinke trade that severely decimated its young, prospective talent pool.

Thankfully, however, the outlook for the system seems promising.

With two first-round selections in each of the last two amateur drafts, director of amateur scouting Bruce Seid annexed several promising youngsters who could be solid contributors for the club down the road. If not they may become valuable trade bait for general manager Doug Melvin.

Those players not included in the Greinke trade of 2010 have also helped add depth and talent to the system. Jimmy Nelson and Tyler Thornburg, among others, have progressed quite well.

Even so, one would be generous to place the Brewers’ system among the most elite in all of baseball, or even in the top half of the National League. The fact still remains that no “top-caliber” prospect has revealed himself…yet. Perhaps 2013 will be the year Milwaukee’s draft-day labors pay off with the manifestation of an elite youngster.

Below depicts how I see the Brewers’ system stacking up with February upon us. I’ve also included a prediction for each player for the upcoming season. Let’s get to it.

Click here for my 2012 prospect rankings and predictions.

#1 Wily Peralta (RHP)

Age

G

GS

IP

H

HR

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

23

6

5

29

24

0

7.14

3.41

2.48

2.65

Brief: A standout 2011 campaign between double-A and triple-A ball made Peralta the Brewers’ top pitching prospect for good, but relatively disappointing (4.66 ERA, 1.58 WHIP over 28 starts) 2012 stay in the Pacific Coast League put his big-league future in question. But after putting on a show in his short stint in the big leagues toward the end of last season, Peralta seemed to have regained respect from scouts who once praised his upside as a youngster. His slider has great action and his velocity is legit; the only question is his control.

Prediction: Peralta doesn’t make the opening-day rotation; however, he does amass at least five spot-starts by the end of the regular season.

#2 Taylor Jungmann (RHP)

Age

G

GS

IP

H

HR

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

23

26

26

153

159

7

5.82

2.71

3.53

3.62

Brief: Jungmann’s ludicrous senior campaign at Texas placed a heavy burden of expectation on his shoulders following the 2011 draft, so by comparison his first professional season was farm from scouts’ expectations. A slight decrease in velocity and underwhelming swing-and-miss ability was obvious over his 26 starts in high-A Brevard County.

However, I see reason for optimism. He showed an ability to throw each offering in just about any situation, his command remains plus-average and he knows how to induce ground-balls, as evidenced by a splendid 1.94 GO/AO ratio. Throw that all together and I think you’ve got an average No.3 and solid No.4 starter.

Prediction: Jungmann starts out in double-A ball and eventually moves his way up to triple-A Nashville by season’s end.

#3 Tyler Thornburg (RHP)

Age

G

GS

IP

H

HR

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

24

8

3

22

24

8

8.18

2.86

4.50

7.09

Brief: Lurid strikeout rates between low-A and high-A ball in 2011 put Thornburg on the map, punching out a ridiculous 10.5 per nine innings that year. Given his smallish stature, scouts were astonished at the velocity with which he was able to create; his secondary offerings were impressive, too. That production carried over into his jump to double-A ball to start off 2012, where in his first eight starts he allowed just 10 earned runs and struck out 51 batters, enough to warrant a spot-start during inter-league play.

Stuff wise, I’m almost convinced he is bullpen bound. His low-90s fastball is incredibly straight and lacks consistency with respect to command and is destroyed when up in the zone; however, his curveball has very nice action and his changeup has come along well.

Prediction: Thornburg doesn’t make the opening-day roster, but (despite my intuition about his stuff) eventually carves a niche as Milwaukee’s No. 5 starter by the end of August.

#4 Johnny Hellweg (RHP)

Age

G

GS

IP

H

HR

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

24

28

23

139.2

121

8

6.8

4.8

3.38

4.25

Brief: Odds are you won’t see Hellweg this high on many organizational rankings, so allow me to elaborate as to why I have him here: upside, upside, upside — quite possibly no other Brewers prospect has as much of it as the 24-year-old Hellweg.

His fastball touches close to triple-digits with little effort and easy arm action and his secondary offerings have no other option but to improve. Furthermore, his massive size (6’9″, 210) portends a future workhorse. Control issues are still an issue, but those are bound to see improvement with further coaching.

Prediction: Hellweg starts in double-A but quickly moves up to triple-A, where he makes a legtimate push for time out of Milwaukee’s bullpen at the end of the season.

#5 Clint Coulter (C)

Age

PA

H

2B

HR

BB

SO

SB

AVG

OBP

SLG

wOBA

19

214

51

3

5

37

33

3

.302

.439

.444

.418

Brief: High on Bruce Seid’s draft board last summer, the Brewers took Coulter 27th overall and got one heck of a first professional season in return. The 19-year-old posted a .302 batting average and .363 average on balls in play with the rookie club in Helena, showing an advanced approach at the dish, though he wasn’t able to tap into his power, amassing only 11 extra-base hits.

While he’s still a project as a catcher, all indications are that the coaches like what they see in him from behind the plate. With more coaching, he may live up to the Brian McCann comparisons.

Prediction: Coulter flashes his line-drive power potential to the tune of 15 home runs between rookie and low-A ball.

#6 Jimmy Nelson (RHP)

Age

G

GS

IP

H

HR

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

23

23

23

127.1

97

5

8.4

4.4

2.83

3.32

Brief: Big, strong and admittedly competitive on the mound, the 6-foot-6, 240-pound right handed-throwing Nelson pieced together a spectacular stint with high-A Brevard County last season. However, injury and heightened competition slowed him up (though not by too much) in double-A ball. Still, Nelson has legit stuff, with the system’s best sinker and a slider that grades out as plus-average. His ability to generate whiffs with his changeup may determine how effective a starter he will be.

Nelson told me earlier in January that he’s set his ceiling high for 2013, aiming to make his debut with the Brewers by the end of the season. Check out our full conversation here.

Prediction: Nelson is a standout in spring training and finds his way to triple-A by mid-season.

#7 Hunter Morris (1B)

Age

PA

H

2B

HR

BB

SO

SB

AVG

OBP

SLG

wOBA

24

571

158

40

28

40

117

2

.303

.357

.563

.413

Brief: Morris’ best professional season came in 2012, where he led the double-A Southern League in home runs, runs batted in and wRC (100), and finished in the top five in doubles and batting average. Unfortunately, that production came at the expense of a lack of patience and plate discipline, as he finished near the bottom of the league in BB/K (0.34) and fielded criticism from scouts for having too many holes in his swing.

Still, Morris is without question the top first-base prospect in the system, and with a strong spring training and start to his 2013 campaign, he may push for playing time should Mat Gamel falter once more.

Prediction: Morris starts the year triple-A and continues to pound the ball at an impressive rate.

#8 Victor Roache (OF)

Brief: After tearing through the Southern Conference as a junior in 2011, Roache’s stock at the 2012 draft plummeted after injuring his left arm last February, an injury that sidelined him for nearly all of his 2012 collegiate campaign. Still, the Brewers believe they got the steal of last summer’s draft when they took him 28th overall, with Seid quoted saying, “…at this point, we feel very confident in the makeup of the kid to work hard and that the injury will heal, and he will be who we think he’ll be.”

Roache has been rehabbing all offseason in preparation for 2013. He told me in late December that his arm is “feeling well” and that he’s not sure where he will start off 2013.

Prediction: Roache starts out in low-A Appleton and works his way up to high-A Brevard County by season’s end.

#9 Ryan (Scooter) Gennett (2B)

Age

PA

H

2B

HR

BB

SO

SB

AVG

OBP

SLG

wOBA

22

573

156

30

5

28

71

11

.293

.330

.385

.330

Brief: Gennett has been a fan-favorite since his 2010 rookie season not only for his unique name but for his productivity at the plate. The 22-year-old has a career .300/.339/.416 slash line as a professional and has been a singles and doubles machine each year. He doesn’t have much raw power, but he’s shown to pound the gaps with consistency, especially against right-handed pitchers, as evidenced by his .405 slugging percentage versus such pitchers last season.

He still has room to improve with his defensive consistency, even with his above-average range (he was a shortstop in high school) at second-base. He won’t be much of a base-stealer at the next level, but he’s an intelligent base-runner that may be of great use to manager Ron Roenicke down the road.

Prediction: Gennett starts in triple-A Nashville and stays the entire season.

#10 Tyrone Taylor (OF)

Age

PA

H

2B

HR

BB

SO

SB

AVG

OBP

SLG

wOBA

19

83

29

9

2

6

11

6

.387

.434

.667

.483

Brief: The Brewers took a calculated risk when they took Taylor with their second-round selection last summer, as Taylor had been a Cal State Fullerton commit with a football background. That risk payed off in a big way, as the athletic former high school football standout produced a .435 batting average on balls in play and 1.100 OPS between the club’s two rookie-level clubs in just his first professional season.

Evaluating a player based off 83 total plate appearances is far from just. However, scouts seem to believe Taylor has an incredibly high ceiling. A knack for putting solid contact on the ball, impressive defensive range and palpable base-running skills, this 19-year-old is a youngster to keep an eye on.

Prediction: Taylor comes back down to earth once he reaches low-A Appleton.

#11 Ariel Pena (RHP)

Age

G

GS

IP

H

HR

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

23

26

26

141.7

129

18

8.7

3.9

3.88

4.32

Ariel Pena / MiLB.com

Ariel Pena / MiLB.com

 

Brief: Probably the least well-known piece to last summer’s Greinke trade, Pena is difficult to evaluate and project for several reasons. Though he has tremendous raw stuff, with a fastball regularly touching the mid-90s and changeup worthy of high praise, and great physical and athletic ability at 6-foot-3, 190 pounds, his lack of control has toubled scouts. In seven starts with double-A Huntsville last season, the young 23-year-old walked 23 batters in just 32.1 innings, which offset his tremendous swing-and-miss capabilities. Improvement in that area could give him a back-end rotation opportunity; regression could lead to a long stay in the minors.

Prediction: Pena starts off in double-A Huntsville and sees improvement with his control, eventually leading to a call-up to triple-A by August.

#12 Jed Bradley (LHP)

Age

G

GS

IP

H

HR

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

22

20

20

107.1

136

9

5.03

3.61

5.53

4.54

Brief: Bradley’s inaugural season in the system got off to a scorching start, allowing zero earned runs to cross home over his first 19 innings of work. Then, May rolled around and it wasn’t until late June that he put together a respectable outing. It was a disheartening campaign for the touted southpaw, to be sure.

One of the big things that plagued Bradley in 2012 was his inconsistencies around the strike-zone. At Georgia Tech, he pounded the zone and generated swings-and-misses from start to start, therefore having confidence in his stuff on a regular basis. In the Florida State league, hitters capitalized off his lack of command and weren’t fooled by his late-breaking action. Bradley is without question the top southpaw in this system, but it will be crucial for him to improve his control and, more importantly, become more confident in each of his offerings.

Prediction: Bradley returns to high-A ball and moves up to double-A by the end of 2013.

#13 Mitch Haniger (OF)

Age

PA

H

2B

HR

BB

SO

SB

AVG

OBP

SLG

wOBA

22

58

14

4

1

7

13

1

.286

.379

.429

.371

[Scouting Report]

Brief: Baseball America caught many folks off-guard when they placed Haniger in its top 10 prospect rankings a few days ago, but I wasn’t surprised. I had the opportunity to scout Milwaukee’s 2012 supplemental first-round selection last summer in low-A Appleton, and I can tell you that this is the type of kid Roenicke would love to have on his roster. Strong, accurate arm; good range in the outfield; intelligent base-runner who can also steal a few bases here and there; puts solid contact on the ball; still improving with pitch recognition. It will be interesting to compare his game from 2012 to this coming season.

Prediction: Haniger returns to low-A ball and quickly proves to be ready for a call-up to high-A by August.

#14 Hiram Burgos (RHP)

Age

G

GS

IP

H

HR

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

24

28

27

171

128

8

8.05

2.58

1.95

2.95

Capture

Brief: Burgos was the fastest-riser in the system last season, moving up to triple-A ball by season’s end after starting in high-A Brevard County. Consequently, the 25-year-old heightened his reputation with scouts and casual fans each step of the way. For me, the biggest determining factor in whether he can push for a late rotation spot will be if he can continue to generate ground balls and hold batters in check. Last season, Burgos posted a ground-ball rate of 42.4 percent and held batters to a .265 BABIP, though he hit a rough patch against tougher Pacific Coast League competition late last season. Control, command and offerings seem to be in place; it’s his ability to help out the defense with ground balls that will be critical moving forward.

Prediction: Burgos picks up where he left off in triple-A Nashville, earning a September call-up with a spot start by season’s end.

#15 Drew Gagnon (RHP)

Age

G

GS

IP

H

HR

K/9

BB/9

ERA

FIP

22

25

25

149.2

123

9

6.86

2.22

2.83

3.36

gagnon

Drew Gagnon / MiLB.com

Brief: Being drafted after the likes of Jungmann and Bradley in 2011, Gagnon has proved to be yet another solid find for Seid and company. The Cal State Long Beach product last season started 25 games between the low and high-A levels and was productive at both. He wasn’t and probably never will be a strikeout hoarder, as he lacks one true swing-and-miss pitch to his repertoire. However, his command has been stellar and hitters simply haven’t figured him out just yet — as evidenced by a .264 BABIP last season. He’ll turn 23 years old in June.

Prediction: Gagnon returns to high-A ball to start 2013 and remains there for the entire season.

Two to Watch in 2013

Yadiel Rivera (SS)

Age

PA

H

2B

HR

BB

SO

SB

AVG

OBP

SLG

wOBA

20

506

115

26

12

26

119

7

.247

.290

.402

.312

[Scouting Report]

Brief: Scouts have had the scoop on Rivera since his rookie 2010 season, where he put up a .209/.243/.257 slash line with a ludicrous 5.04 range factor at the rookie level: a plus defender with a well below average approach at the plate. While there is some merit to that widespread sentiment, I don’t believe it is completely indicative of the type of player Rivera might one day become.

Yes, it is true that Rivera has struggled with pitch precognition and his plate discipline is far from big-league ready. However, posting a career-low in strikeout rate (23.5 percent) and career-high in walk rate (5.1 percent) is reason for optimism. Add that to what I’ve seen to be very nice raw power, hastened bat speed and tremendous range and feel for the shortstop position, and I think 2013 could be a breakout season for the young Puerto Rico native.

Prediction: Rivera lights up Midwest League pitching and finds himself in high-A Brevard County by season’s end.

Christopher Mcfarland (2B)

Age

PA

H

2B

HR

BB

SO

SB

AVG

OBP

SLG

wOBA

20

313

85

17

6

23

79

15

.301

.358

.433

.360

Brief: With just one pro season to his resume, Mcfarland has flown relatively under the radar for his brief stay in the system, which is surprising given his outstanding production at the rookie level last season. The 20-year-old showed a solid approach at the plate and a knack for getting hits (as evidenced by a superb .397 BABIP) whenever he makes contact. One scout described Mcfarland as being “athletic, great hands with glove and bat, quick release, puts ball in play, runs like hell.” If he continues to garner such respect while putting up big numbers across the board, he’ll have a change to hasten quickly through the system.

Prediction: McFarland witnesses slight regression at low-A Appleton, but nonetheless remains one of the most intriguing of Milwaukee’s prospects.

Milwaukee Brewers’ End-of-Season Top 25 Prospect Rankings


Taylor Jungmann / MiLB.com

It was undoubtedly a year worth looking back on with exuberance for the Milwaukee Brewers’ farm system.

Coming into the season, you would have been hard-pressed to find the Brewers’ collective system placed above of the bottom-five overall in many organizational rankings among big-league ball clubs. Baseball America and Baseball Prospectus followed that trend, with BA ranking Milwaukee at No. 26 overall prior to the season and BP placing Milwaukee at an even worse No. 28 overall.

This shouldn’t come as much of a surprise to anyone with a fundamental knowledge of the Brewers’ minor-league talent, of course. The Zack Greinke trade of two winters ago left the talent-pool excessively thin, consequently leaving 23-year-old right-handed pitcher Wily Peralta with the proverbial “top prospect” moniker prior to the season after a tremendous 2011 campaign. First-round picks from 2011 Taylor Jungmann and Jed Bradley were also seen as guys who could take home top-prospect honors after the season, as well as right-hander Tyler Thornburg. After that, there weren’t many youngsters who looked to be of any relevance anytime soon at the big-league level.

However, after a fruitful 2012 draft class and the trade that made Greinke a Halo, subsequently giving Milwaukee three intriguing prospects to add to the system, things are looking up and fans can now expect a steady influx of talent to the big-league roster as early as the start of next season.

So with the season essentially over, it seems fitting for me to update my end-of-season top-25 prospect rankings.

To see my preseason rankings, click here and to see my mid-season rankings, click here.

1. Wily Peralta, RHP — Walks have been up due to control regressions and will need to show more refined control of his heavy fastball. However, pure swing-and-miss ability is certainly there; his slider has great diving action and will be a definite asset down the road. Have no doubt he’ll show signs of potential out of the ‘pen this month and with a good spring training should be the No. 5 starter come April.

2. Taylor Jungmann, RHP — Has been anything but the strikeout hoarder he was in college but has absolutely looked the part of a top prospect in every other aspect. Is always around the plate and hits his spots consistently; knows how to set-up hitters with his secondary offerings and hardly ever gives up the long-ball. A good looking prospect in my book.

3. Tyler Thornburg, RHP — Milwaukee’s prospect darling has been outstanding by all accounts in 2012; the raw statistics are there to support his case to be in the rotation come next April. Still, I have concerns; namely with his pure stuff. His fastball gets crushed when over the plate, is way to reliant on the pitch and furthermore doesn’t induce a lot of ground-balls. His curveball — though having nice movement — is much too inconsistent control-wise. Add on that he still hasn’t developed a good feel for his changeup and his lack of stamina, and, yes, I have my doubts. Will be a reliever when all said and done.

4. Jimmy Nelson, RHP — Got off to a scorching start in high-A but ran into troubles — and shoulder fatigue — upon being promoted to double-A midway through the season. One of my favorite prospects in the system; massive yet prototype 6’6″, 245 build makes him highly durable. Good three-pitch mix with a promising sinker and plus-average slider that’s already MLB ready. The ability to control his fastball will be the key moving forward. Could push for a spot start by the end of next season.

Jimmy Nelson / MiLB.com

5. Logan Schafer, OF — Knocking on the major-league door for a while now, Schafer should get at least minimal playing time in September. Impress, and he will certainly challenge Carlos Gomez for the starting job in center field next season. Disappoint, and who knows what happens.

6. Hunter Morris, 1B — The lack of a quality approach at the plate dampened his otherwise impressive power numbers from 2010 to 2011, nearly to the point where scouts questioned his ability to grow into a serviceable bat in the bigs. But while his strikeout rate remains somewhat high, he is drawing more walks and is developing a more refined approach. Further improvement in that area could mean he is starts for Milwaukee at first base in 2014.

7. Clint Coulter, C/DH — Milwaukee’s 2012 first-round pick has struggled behind the plate but has thrived at it. With 22 passed balls in just 25 games, catching may not be where he best projects at the next level; maybe a first base or third base. However, his impressive eye at the plate — as evidenced by his .429 OBP — is a great sign for the organization.

8. Jed Bradley, LHP — It was a season filled with disappointment and injury for the 22-year-old southpaw. Missed a stretch of time due to a groin strain and has not pitched since August 8 due to arm soreness. Still believe the stuff is there to be a future No. 3, but will need to refine his command before he becomes what scouts project him to be.

9. Johnny Hellweg, RHP — Second piece received in the Greinke deal, Hellweg stands in at a healthy 6’9″, 205 pounds. Has very good raw stuff including a mid-90s fastball that induces ground balls. Doesn’t have much control over his secondary offerings and has walked nearly as many as he’s struck out in his short stint in the system. I believe he would be an excellent late-inning reliever down the road.

10. Khris Davis, OF — Scouts aren’t high on his toolset but his statistics are tough to ignore. Slugged his way to a .383/.484/.641 line in 44 double-A games and got the call to Nashville, where he ran into troubles but is still boasting a nice 119 wRC+ through roughly 30 games. Not entirely sure he has a position to play on the big-league roster; may ultimately wind up as trade bait.

Ariel Pena / creamcitycables.com

11. Ariel Pena, RHP — The final piece in the Greinke trade, Pena also has the stuff to suggest he could be a backline starter in the bigs. His devastating changeup gets hitters off his fastball, but lacks a quality breaking pitch. Doesn’t induce a lot of ground-balls and control issues are troubling. A strong spring training could put him on an early call-up list next season.

12. Scooter Gennett, 2B — Has thrived off his ability to hit for singles and pound the outfield gaps with well below-average power. Pushing to hit over .300 for his third consecutive season. Sees the ball well and has good knowledge of the strikezone, still developing as a defensive second-baseman. His diminutive 5’9″, 185 pound frame still concerns scouts.

13. Victor Roache, OF — Selected with their second first-round pick this past June, Roache’s broken right wrist suffered during his final year at Georgia Southern has kept him from playing time this summer, as he’s rehabbed in Arizona in preparation for fall and winter instructional leagues. Athletic build with a ton of pop in his bat, could end up as a corner outfielder.

14. Hiram Burgos, RHP — Started in high-A and moved all the way up to triple-A, where his stuff has stacked up well against the competition. Won’t blow batters away but shows a good feel for each of his pitches. Much more of a fly-ball pitcher than a ground-out pitcher. Will have the chance to be on the opening day roster with a strong 2013 preseason.

Hiram Burgos / MiLB.com

15. Caleb Gindl, OF — The stocky 5’9″ outfielder has been waiting to burst onto the big league scene for two seasons now and should get the call this September as a depth-adding corner arm. Got off to an abysmally slow start but has since found his stroke; put up a .319/.370/.527 line in July and furthermore managed to raise his slugging percentage up to a respectable .429. Unfortunately, there doesn’t look to be anywhere on the roster for him to play next season.

16. Kentrail Davis, OF —  I’ve always loved Davis’ tools; is extremely athletic with plus-speed on the bases and in the outfield. His bat has been in question for his entire playing career, but has shown great signs of improvement this season. Displaying good discipline at the plate and improved power during his stay in double-A this season.

17. Drew Gagnon, RHP — The Brewers’ fourth-round pick in the 2011 draft has produced well above what many had anticipated to this juncture of his career. Posted a very nice 2.83 ERA over six starts with low-A Appleton and got the call to Brevard County this summer. While he’s struggled to produce ground outs consistently, his credible fastball-curve-changeup repertoire has worked splendidly against the competition. Could turn out to be a future No. 5 in a best-case scenario.

18. Jorge Lopez, RHP — A youngster who still has a ways before he fills out physically, Lopez has racked up the strikeouts during his second season in the system but at the same has struggled to control his fastball-curve-changeup mix. Scouts love his overall upside and its tough to disagree. Could become a mid-rotation arm in at his very best — a middle-inning reliever at his very worst.

19. Mitch Haniger, OF — Found immediate success in low-A Appleton after becoming the Brewers’ third and final first-round pick in last June’s draft, however an untimely PCL tear ended his rookie stint. Has a very well-rounded game without any noticeable weakness.  Has gap power to all fields; solid defender with plus-arm, good work ethic and makeup. Really like his game. Will be interesting to see how his bounces back from injury next season.

Yadiel Rivera / Rinaldi Photos

20. Yadiel Rivera, SS — A defensive whiz at shortstop, no one will argue that his glove doesn’t project to be plus-average at the next level — his bat, however, is an entirely different story. Still learning to repeat his mechanics and overall plate discipline, Rivera’s hit tool still remains in question. The good part is that time is on his side; at just 20 years old, he should finish next season in high-A and with improvements there could skyrocket to the upper minors. Definitely a name worth watching next season.

21. Tyrone Taylor, OF — Exceeded expectations in rookie ball after being taken in the second round of last June’s draft, especially with his bat; posted a .387/.434/.667 line in 83 trips to the plate this season before injury sidelined him on July 22. His bat will need some mechanical tune-ups as he continues to move up the ladder. Could be a lethal base-stealer down the road.

22. David Goforth, RHP — The Mississippi State product blew past hitters in rookie ball last season out of the bullpen, striking out over a batter per inning. This season, that has been anything but the same in low-A ball — strictly as a starter, Goforth punched out a very average 5.7 batters per nine innings over 27 starts. I’m not too high on his overall arsenal of pitches but his slider certainly looks the part of a big-league swing-and-miss pitch.

23. Jose Pena, OF — After two full seasons in the Dominican Summer League, the raw 19-year-old earned a promotion to Helena after putting up a scintillating .877 OPS in the rookie Arizona League. He now boasts a .309/.316/.582 line in 57 plate appearances and looks like a very intriguing youngster in the system.

24. Eric Farris, 2B — The once highly-touted second baseman began his 2012 campaign ridiculously slow at the plate but he’s recovered to boast a very nice .286/.328/.378 line. His haste on the bases has been far from what it was during his early days in the organization but still nabbed 33 bases in 129 games. Nevertheless, would be a nice depth-providing roster addition this September.

25. Nick Ramirez, 1B — A defensively cumbersome first-baseman with plus raw power at the dish, Ramirez has witnessed massive declines in his offensive production this season juxtaposed to his rookie 2011 campaign, most notably with respect to his plate discipline. A great fastball hitter, the Cal State Fullerton product just can’t seem to stay on breaking offerings and that has in turn led to a strikeout rate of 34 percent this season. His capacity to become a more disciplined hitter will determine his big-league ceiling.

Player Not Mentioned Worth Watching in 2013: Chris McFarland, 2B

Chris McFarland / helenair.com

Taken in the 18th round of the 2011 draft out of Lufkin (TX.) High School as a groomed middle-infield defender, McFarland made a permanent transition to second base this season — his rookie season — and has flourished. His above-average athleticism enabled him to post a range factor of 4.36 and turn 37 double plays in just 59 games with the rookie club in Helena, though he certainly won’t be limited to that position moving forward. He showed scouts during his high school days that he is a very capable outfielder with a strong arm and quick release to stick at nearly any position on the diamond.

Offensively, McFarland has also impressed. A quick bat that produces natural gap-power to all fields has allowed him to post a .299/.355/.420 line over 292 plate appearances this season to go with a .398 BABIP and .354 wOBA. Like many raw youngsters, though, McFarland struggles somewhat to repeat his mechanics and remained disciplined on off-speed and breaking offerings, as evidenced by a concerning 0.28 BB/K ratio.

Given his impressive showing this season in rookie ball, I would be shocked to see him remain there next season. It looks like he’s ready to move up to low-A Appleton.

10 Biggest Speedsters in the Brewers’ Farm System


The need for speed on the baseball diamond has always been a necessity at the major league level. Elite speed can not only be utilized in the batter’s box and on the basepaths, but it can also be an extremely valuable tool on defense. Consequently, players with tremendous speed have continuously been in high demand.

Of course, you’d be deeply mistaken to think speed only resides in the big leagues. There are countless minor league prospects, particularly in the Milwaukee Brewers’ system, that have elite speed and are able to utilize it both on the basepaths and in the field of play. Once developed, these young players could turn out to be extremely useful for base-stealing advocate Brewers manager Ron Roenicke.

Who are these young players and why are they considered to have above-average to elite speed on the baseball diamond? Let’s find out.

10. Khris Davis

Position: OF

Height/Weight: 6’0″, 195

DOB: 12/21/1987

Bats/Throws: R/R

Drafted/Signed: 2009, seventh round (Cal State Fullerton)

2012 Stats

Double-A: .323/.443/.874, HR, 9 RBI, 7 R, .111 ISO, 3.8 SPD, 168 wRC+ (79 PA)

Overview: Drafted in the seventh round of the 2009 draft, Khris Davis has been a formidable base-running threat dating back to his college days. As a three-year starter at Cal State Fullerton, Davis successfully nabbed 32 stolen bases, averaging roughly 11 per season, while getting caught stealing just four times. Now in his fourth professional season, Davis has tallied 33 stolen bases in 47 attempts.

But for as solid as his speed has proven to be on the basepaths, it hasn’t completely translated to the field. He is by all accounts a solid defender in left-field, garnering a career .980 fielding percentage, his 1.77 range factor shows that his speed is primarily an offensive tool. For comparison’s sake, Davis’ career range factor is parallel to that of Arizona Diamonbacks outfielder Jason Kubel.

MLB Speed Comparison: Jason Kubel, Arizona Diamondbacks

9. Chadwin Stang

Position: OF

Height/Weight: 6’2″, 190

DOB: 3/26/1989

Bats/Throws: R/R

Drafted/Signed: 2009, eighth round (Midland College)

2012 Stats

Low-A: .245/.339/.469, 3 HR, 12 RBI, 17 R, .234 ISO, 8.2 SPD, 147 wRC+ (115 PA)

Overview: Quite possibly more well-known for his name than his on-field production, Chadwin Stang’s speed has helped to transform him into one of the most versatile prospects in the Brewers’ system. He has proven to be a dependable base-stealer and a tremendous glove in the outfield.

Since Stang doesn’t have much consistency or power in his bat (he has a career .248 BA with a .373 slugging percentage), he has to rely on his barn-burning speed in order to contribute in the lower minors. Last season, Stang’s six triples tied for the most among all low-A hitters and in just 119 plate appearances this season, he’s already amassed four triples. He notched 12 stolen bases last season and already has five in 2012, additionally.

Defensively speaking, Stang is without a doubt one of the best outfielders in Milwaukee’s system. In 109 games playing center field, Stang has garnered an impressive 2.16 range factor while committing just eight errors.

MLB Speed Comparison: Josh Hamilton, Texas Rangers

8. Logan Schafer

Position: OF

Height/Weight: 6’1″, 180

DOB: 11/8/1986

Bats/Throws: L/L

Drafted/Signed: 2008, third round (Cal Poly)

2012 Stats

Triple-A: .255/.311/.400, 2 HR, 6 RBI, 17 R, 3 SB, .132 ISO, 4.5 SPD, 78 wRC+ (122 PA)

One of the standout prospects from Brewers spring camp 2012, Logan Schafer has been on Milwaukee’s call-up radar for a while now. The biggest reason for that has been, you guessed it, his very impressive speed — both offensively and defensively.

Of course, Schafer’s speed extends well beyond base-stealing alone. He’s been a consistent triples threat since his rookie season in 2008, amassing 17 triples in just over three full professional seasons. Moreover, he’s shown to be able to work the bases, with a runs scored percent slightly above 41 percent.

The Cal Poly product has also made a name for himself in the field. He’s an incredibly gifted outfielder with tremendous range, posting a 2.33 range factor and .990 fielding percentage during his career as a center fielder. It shouldn’t be too long — potentially as early as 2013 — before he’s Ron Roenicke’s starting centerfielder.

MLB Speed Comparison: Drew Stubbs, Cincinnati Reds

7. T.J. Mittelstaedt

Position: UTIL

Height/Weight: 5’10”, 185

DOB: 2/13/1988

Bats/Throws: L/R

Drafted/Signed: 2010, 44th round (Long Beach State)

2012 Stats

High-A: .269/.361/.495, 2 HR, 16 RBI, 12 R, 3 SB, .236 ISO, 6.0 SPD, 158 wRC+ (112 PA)

A very productive all-around player in four years at Long Beach State University, T.J. Mittelstaedt has wasted no time in perpetuating his productivity to the Brewers’ farm system in the lower minors. The 24-year-old Cali native uses his above-average speed to his benefit on the bases and in the field.

By no means a slugging presence, Mittelstaedt utilizes his quickness out of the batter’s box on a consistent basis. Now in his third professional season, he’s tallied 11 triples and scored 113 runs in just 187 minor league games. His 41 career stolen bases — 28 came last season in low-A ball — furthermore adds to his reputation as a real speedster.

Of course, Mittelstaedt’s versatility doesn’t end there. A jack-of-all-trades defensively, he can play just about anywhere on the diamond and play it well, thanks in large part to his athletic abilities. Primarily as a second baseman, Mittelstaedt boasts a very solid 3.92 range factor, though he is also a very capable outfielder with experience playing left field.

MLB Speed Comparison: Mark Ellis, Los Angeles Dodgers

8. Scooter Gennett

Position: 2B

Height/Weight: 5’9″, 164

DOB: 5/1/1990

Bats/Throws: L/R

Drafted/Signed: 2009, 16th round (Sarasota HS)

2012 Stats

Double-A: .276/.297/.398, 3 HR, 14 RBI, 14 R, 3 SB, .125 ISO, 5.4 SPD, 90 wRC+ (128 PA)

Ryan “Scooter” Gennett has turned heads over his first two professional seasons for his exceptional hitting dispute his slightly undersized stature. However, one of the most neglected facets to his game has been his speed.

By no means does Gennett have elite-level speed on the bases, he is a very productive base-runner. The Sarasota, Florida native has tallied 28 total stolen bases on 43 attempts up to this point in his career, and has also amassed 11 triples thanks to his gap power.

While he’s still a bit of a project as a defensive second baseman, Gennett still covers a lot of territory in the field. In 272 games at second base, he’s garnered a 4.72 range factor with much room to improve in his consistency as he’s managed a career .967 fielding percentage. Once that develops, though, his defense could be a real strong-point to his game.

MLB Speed Comparison: Dustin Ackley, Seattle Mariners

5. Kentrail Davis

Position: OF

Height/Weight: 5’9″, 210

DOB: 6/29/88

Bats/Throws: L/R

Drafted/Signed: 2009, supplemental first round (Tennessee)

2012 Stats

Double-A: .273/.329/.348, 6 RBI, 6 R, 2 SB, .066 ISO, 3.5 SPD, 95 wRC+ (73 PA)

Kentrail Davis has always been known for his superb speed; from his college days at the University of Tennessee up until his promotion to double-A ball this season, he has consistently strutted his quickness on the bases and in the field of play.

Though he wasn’t a notorious base-stealer at the collegiate level, he’s quickly developed into one at the minor league level. Last season in high-A ball, Davis swiped 33 bases on 41 attempts and moreover compiled eight triples out of the leadoff role in Brevard County. This season, his hitting inadequacies have limited his chances to steal bases as he’s stolen just two in three attempts.

Davis’ defensive prowess is another impressive facet to his game. In 61 games in center field, the former Volunteer garnered an eye-opening 2.23 range factor to go with an average .971 fielding percentage.

MLB Speed Comparison: Peter Bourjos, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim

4. Josh Prince

Position: SS, OF

Height/Weight: 6’3″, 195

DOB: 1/26/1988

Bats/Throws: R/R

Drafted/Signed: 2009, third round (Tulane)

2012 Stats

Double-A: .218/.316/.317, HR, 7 RBI, 10 R, 4 SB, .103 ISO, 6.0 SPD, 81 wRC+ (118 PA)

Drafted in the third round of the 2009 draft, Josh Prince has always been known for having deadly speed on the bases. Scouts took notice to his tremendous agility during his junior season at Tulane University, where he swiped 44 bases in just 59 games for the Green Wave. His quickness has garnered attention thus far in his professional career, as well.

In his 2009 rookie campaign, Prince stole a combined 38 bases in 50 attempts between rookie and low-A ball and followed that up with a 44 stolen-base season in 2010 with high-A Brevard County. Last season, he totaled 24 stolen bases in 32 attempts. Long story short, Prince’s speed has terrorized the competition.

Not only that, but his athleticism has translated nicely to the field of play. In 239 games at shortstop, Prince boasts a 4.08 range factor but has committed 52 errors at that position, conversely.

MLB Speed Comparison: Zack Cozart, Cincinnati Reds

3. Lee Haydel

Position: OF

Height/Weight: 6’1″, 170

DOB: 7/15/1987

Bats/Throws: L/R

Drafted/Signed: 2006, 19th round (Riverside Academy HS)

2012 Stats

Double-A: .352/.397/.463, HR, 3 RBI, 10 R, 2 SB, .113 ISO, 7.1 SPD, 141 wRC+ (59 PA)

By far and away the most underrated speedster in Milwaukee’s system, Lee Haydel has posted better and more consistent speed numbers than any other Brewers prospect over the last five seasons. He’s been an absolute force on the basepaths. The only downside is that he hasn’t transitioned that speed into his defense.

Since Haydel is far from a power-hitter, his game is almost solely predicated off his elite quickness on the bases. Excluding this season, the former 19th round selection has tabbed 124 stolen bases for an average of 25 per season to go with over six triples and 60 runs per season. In short, Haydel should probably be deemed the most productive speedster in Milwaukee’s system from an offensive standpoint.

Though for whatever reason, that speed hasn’t transferred over to his defense. Garnering a career 1.79 range factor as a center fielder and 1.63 as a left fielder, Haydel is only average when it comes to covering vasts amount of territory in the outfield.

MLB Speed Comparison: Alfonso Soriano, Chicago Cubs

2. Reggie Keen

Position: OF

Height/Weight: 5’10”, 180

DOB: 1/13/1988

Bats/Throws: R/R

Drafted/Signed: Signed as UDFA in 2010

2012 Stats

High-A: .243/.284/.291, 8 RBI, 6 R, 9 SB, .051 ISO, 3.7 SPD, 50 wRC+ (113 PA)

Signing on as a non-draft pick free agent in 2010 after four years at Radford University, Reggie Keen exploded onto the scene in his first two seasons in Milwaukee’s system, staking his claim as arguably Milwaukee’s biggest young speedster. He’s shown he can steal bases with the best of them and can also play very good defense in the outfield, primarily as a center fielder.

Last season in low-A ball, Keen stolen 41 bases — which was fifth-most among all Midwest League prospects — in 55 attempts for a scintillating 8.5 SPD rating. He moreover scored 60 times and notched seven triples, proving to be one of the most productive top-of-the-order bats among all Midwest League players. He didn’t flash much power potential so he relied heavily on his speed to produce runs.

Keen’s tremendous speed has also allowed him to have great range in the outfield. In center field last season, the Danville, Virginia native posted a 2.15 range factor with an average .971 fielding percentage.

MLB Speed Comparison: Emilio Bonafacio, Miami Marlins

1. Eric Farris

Position: 2B

Height/Weight: 5’9″, 180

DOB: 3/3/1986

Bats/Throws: R/R

Drafted/Signed: 2007, fourth round (Loyola Marymount University)

2012 Stats

Triple-A: .230/.284/.253, 4 RBI, 9 R, 6 SB, .024 ISO, 5.4 SPD, 50 wRC+ (96 PA)

There are plenty of speedsters in the Brewers’ system worthy of being on this list, but few measure up to the reputation of Eric Farris. An unmitigated barn-burner dating all the way back to his college days, Farris has employed his speed both on the bases and at second base and has proven to be an extremely valuable prospect.

As a 21 year old in his first professional season in 2007, Farris notched 21 stolen bases and two triples. Now well into his sixth professional season, all he’s managed to do is log 165 stolen bases — 70 of which came in 2010 — in 197 attempts with 13 triples for a runs scored percent of 40 percent. Farris’ elite speed has put him on the Mount Rushmore of minor league base-stealers.

The usefulness of his breakneck speed doesn’t end there, however. His sensational career 4.73 range factor at second base portends that he could be of a lot of use to a major league team sometime down the road.

MLB Speed Comparison: Howard Kendrick, Los Angeles Angels


Alec Dopp covers the Milwaukee Brewers as a featured columnist at Bleacher Report.  Follow him on Twitter @alecdopp and read his blog.

Milwaukee Brewers: Bold Predictions for Brewers’ Top 25 Prospects in 2012


The dawn of a new season is almost upon us, and for as much attention as the Brewers will get as opening day draws nearer, there are plenty of reasons to be excited for minor leauge baseball’s 2012 season.  Let’s break down Milwaukee’s top 25 prospects heading into this season with a bold prediction for each player.

25. RHP David Goforth

Relatively unknown throughout the system, David Goforth is a sleeper prospect who could scoot through the system.  Selected in the seventh round of last summer’s draft, scouts have taken notice to his concise two-pitch repertoire composed of a high-90s fastball and plus-average cutter.  He found limited success as a starter in college, but his stuff suggests he should develop into an effective late-inning reliever.  Last season in rookie ball, Goforth appeared in 19 games and posted a 4.43 ERA, struck out 42 in 40.1 innings of work and walked just 10.  If there’s one knock on his game, it’s his command, but that should be cleared up as he moves his way through the system.

Prediction: I like what Goforth has to offer and see him developing into a solid reliever at the big league level.  In regards to this season, though, I think he spends all of 2012 in low-A ball.

24. SS Yadiel Rivera

The Brewers thought they had their shortstop of the future in Alcides Escobar, but since he now resides in Kansas City, there’s suddenly a window of opportunity for 19-year-old Yadiel Rivera.  A ninth-round selection out of Manuela Toro High School in Puerto Rico, Rivera has a tremendous amount of athleticism on the diamond.  Through two professional seasons, the youngster carries an unimpressive .939 fielding percentage but made up for his inconsistencies with a 4.59 range factor.  His bat remains in question after posting a combined .236 BA and .372 slugging percentage between rookie and low-A ball last season.  He’ll also need to cut down on his strikeouts and discipline at the plate moving forward.

Prediction: Clearly, Rivera has a special gift when it comes to playing defense.  His range is ridiculous given his time in the league but his inconsistencies are a question mark also.  I look for him to start 2012 in low-A ball and get promoted to high-A ball by season’s end.

23. UTIL Zelous Wheeler

There’s always a high demand for players who can play multiple positions as the big league level, and Zelous Wheeler fits the bill as being a genuine utility-man for years to come.  Since his rookie season in 2007, Wheeler has bounced his way around the diamond, getting playing time at shortstop, second-base and third base, carrying a .944 fielding percentage and 3.09 range.  He’s been modest with the bat, as well, holding true to a career .271 BA and .408 slugging percentage.  Wheeler’s game and journey to the majors is comparable to former Brewer utility man Jerry Hairston Jr.  He’s got a great passion for the game and has the intangibles managers love.

Prediction: Having spent a considerable amount of time in double-A over the past two years, Wheeler could use some time in triple-A to refine his game, though he’s just about ready to contribute as an off-the-bench type player for the Brewers.  I look for him to start 2012 in triple-A and earn a September call-up this fall.

22. 1B Brock Kjeldgaard

At 26 years old, Brock Kjeldgaard barely qualifies as being a legitimate prospect.  Taken by Milwaukee in the 34th round of the 2005 draft, Kjeldgaard has spent five professional seasons in the system, garnering a reputation for being a true slugger every step of the way.  His career .464 slugging percentage .801 OPS stacks up nicely against the competition.  Last season, Kjeldgaard blasted 24 home runs and 76 RBI to go with a .495 slugging percentage that ranked third best among all prospects in Milwaukee’s system.

Prediction: Though he may have power, I wouldn’t read too much into his future with the organization.  Sure, the Brewers added him to their 40-man roster to start spring training, but I ultimately look for him to spend 2012 in triple-A.

21. RHP Mike Fiers

Another late-bloomer, 26-year-old Mike Fiers has spent just two seasons in the system.  What he’s done in his time in the minors, though, has been truly impressive.  In 290-plus career innings (37 GS), Fiers boasts a 2.50 ERA and 0.98 WHIP, striking out 321 while walking just 73 (4.40 K/BB).  Last year, he went 13-3 with a 1.86 ERA and was named Milwaukee’s minor league pitcher of the year for his efforts.  If he was a couple years younger, we might be talking about a top-caliber prospect.

Prediction: Fiers will come into spring training fully expecting to make the opening day roster, and I think he will do just that.  I look for him to be a key contributor out of the ‘pen for the Brewers all season long.

20. RHP Nick Bucci

An 18th-round draft pick by the Brewers in 2008, Nick Bucci’s career up to this point has been anything but extraordinary.  But after a solid 2011 season in high-A Brevard County where he went 8-11 with a 3.84 ERA, things could be looking up for the youngster.  After struggling with command issues that led to an abysmal 5.07 BB/9 IP in 2010, Bucci recovered in 2011, lowering his his BB/9 IP to a wholesome 3.06.  While his ERA will need to be lowered a tad in the coming season, there’s no doubt Bucci has quality stuff.  His fastball tops out anywhere from 89-93 MPH and often flashes a plus-average curveball that could present itself as a real weapon in the coming years.

Prediction: The way I and many scouts see it, Bucci has the makings of a quality relief pitcher at the major league level, though that could still be a ways off at this point.  He has the ideal frame to be a solid arm out of the bullpen and has a slightly plus-average fastball that should serve him well.  I predict Bucci to come out the gates strong to start this season and eventually find his way to triple-A.

19. LHP Dan Meadows

The Brewers are markedly devoid of talented left-handed pitching down on the farm, but Dan Meadows has a decent chance to break through to the majors sometime in the near future.  At 24 years old, Meadows has four seasons of professional ball under his belt and has performed well in each.  In 2009, he started 11 games for low-A Wisconsin and went 13-6 with a 4.01 ERA, showing the ability to be an innings-eater as a starter though he really shined in his role as a middle-innings reliever.  Last season in triple-A, Meadows pitched 35.2 innings, striking out 35 while holding batters to a .248 BA.  He’s flashed solid control throughout his career and is able to make up for his lack of velocity with a lethal slider, his go-to pitch in tough jams.

Prediction: It’s already a given that Meadows will start in triple-A, though what he does in his time there will determine how fast he reaches the majors.  I look for him to spend all of 2012 down in Nashville to prime himself for a promotion in 2013.

18. RHP Santo Manzanillo

Santo Manzanillo found his way into the system as a non-draft pick free agent in 2006, but has only recently tapped into his capabilities as a premium reliever.  Last season, the 6’0″, 190-pounder made his way through high-A Brevard County as well as double-A Huntsville, garnering a combined 1.75 ERA with 62 strikeouts (9.0 K/9 IP), 1.14 WHIP and .194 BAA.  Manzanillo has a plus-fastball that has allowed him to materialize into one of the Brewers’ top strikeouts prospects, topping out at 99 and regularly sitting in the 94-97 range.  If he’s able to limit batters in the fashion he’s shown thus far, he could be placed on the fast-track to reach the majors sometime in 2013.

Prediction: After separating his right shoulder in a car accident last December, the Brewers will obviously err on the side of caution with Manzanillo moving forward.  With that in mind, I think he spends his entire 2012 campaign in double-A.

17. RHP Kyle Heckathorn

Once upon a time, Kyle Heckathorn was arguably Milwaukee’s top evolving starter and looked to push for the big leagues by 2013.  In 2010, the big right-hander was awarded as the Brewers’ top pitching prospect in the entire system, going 10-6 with a 2.98 ERA and walking just 33 batters in 124 innings between low-A and high-A ball.  His success curtailed in 2011, though, posting an unsightly 7.18 ERA in seven starts in double-A.  While there’s certainly some cause for concern after such an abhorrent preview to double-A ball, we must not forget what Heckathorn brings to the table.  At 6’6″, 225 pounds, Heckathorn has the physical makings of a mid-rotation innings-eater at the big league level.  His fastball ranges anywhere from 97-93 MPH and he also features a hard slider and changeup that has, at times, garnered a considerable amount of attention from scouts.

Prediction: I tend to be a bit more optimistic about Heckathorn than many scouts.  His physical makeup screams future starter at the big league level.  I expect him to re-dedicate himself and eventually move his way up to triple-A before the end of next season.

16. CF, RF Kentrail Davis

Admittedly, watching Kentrail Davis play is a bit aggravating.  While has the speed, plate discipline, and physical makeup that would allow him to be an excellent leadoff hitter at the major league level, he has yet to develop and tap-into his power potential at the plate, one of the prevailing reasons why he has yet to break through to the upper minors.  Last season at high-A Brevard County, Davis batted .245 with eight home runs, 46 RBI, 76 runs scored while also notching 33 stolen bases.  He only managed a .317 on-base percentage and .361 slugging percentage, though, making it rather apparent that he still has a while to develop.

Prediction: This will be a defining year for Davis in his quest for the majors.  He’s now spent two seasons in high-A ball and is still looking for a promotion double-A.  After a solid showing at the Arizona Fall League, I think he starts 2012 in high-A and merits an early promotion, spending the remainder of his season in double-A Huntsville.

15. RHP Austin Ross

One of the key elements from the Brewers’ exceptionally successful 2010 draft, Austin Ross has the makings of a solid back-of-the-rotation starter at the major league level.  After a solid rookie campaign in Helena, Ross worked his way through the lower-portion of the system in 2011.  Going 10-7 with a 5.28 ERA in 25 starts between low-A and high-A ball, he’s shown to be ready to break through to double-A in the very near future, and it wouldn’t surprise me if he’s promoted early on in 2012.  Unlike most of the pitchers featured on this list, Ross’ game is predicated on working his way around batters with above-average control as well as his ability to limit his mistakes.  I like what he has to offer and find his game comparable to Jeff Suppan.

Prediction: The fact that Ross is already on the cusp of breaking through to double-A ball after just two professional seasons speaks volumes to his game.  I look for him to start 2012 in high-A ball but quickly get promoted to double-A.

14. RHP Amaury Rivas

At this stage of his once very promising career, Amaury Rivas barely qualifies as a prospect.  He’s now 26 years old and has just stumbled his way through the system thus far.  Signing as a non-draft pick back in 2005, Rivas’ game was a pedestrian as you can imagine.  However, after a promotion to high-A ball in 2009, his production took off, going 13-7 with a 2.98 ERA, 123 strikeouts (8.3 K/9 IP) and .218 BAA.  Last season in triple-A ball, Rivas went 7-12 with a repulsive 4.72 ERA.  However, that was the least of his worries, as he managed to strike out just 16 percent of his batters, which was at one point one of the staples to his game.  He should probably be higher on this list, but such an ugly 2011 campaign has reignited my doubts about his future.

Prediction: In my mind, 2012 will prove to be either Rivas’ breakout year to the majors or the year he puts himself in the same category as Mark Rogers as being an utter disappointment.  Unfortunately, I just don’t see him getting out of triple-A this year; possibly a September call-up with minimal opportunities at best.

13. 2B Eric Farris

Just two years ago, Eric Farris was the toast of the entire Brewers organization.  Hoarding an unprecedented 70 stolen bases in just 124 games at high-A Brevard County, he was seemingly on the cusp of breaking through to the majors after just his third minor league season.  However, knee injury early in 2010 derailed his momentum, setting him back a few years as management continues to err on the side of caution.  Last year at triple-A, Farris got back into the swing of things and managed a .271 BA with six home runs, 55 RBI, 70 runs scored and 21 stolen bases.  He’ll turn 26 in March, and his time in the minors would be well past him if not for Rickie Weeks holding things down at second base.

Prediction: In almost any other farm system, Farris would be considered a top prospect — and deservedly so.  His speed is overwhelming and, as I see it, will manifest itself in the form of a September call-up next fall.

12. RHP Cody Scarpetta

There have been few prospects that have come through Milwaukee’s system with as much upside as Cody Scarpetta.  An 11th round draft pick in 2007, he’s posted some truly impressive numbers thus far in his professional career.  In high-A ball in 2010, Scarpetta went the distance by administering 128 innings with a 3.87 ERA, striking out 142 (10 K/9 IP) while holding batters to a .241 BA.  Thanks to a fastball that ranges from 90-94 MPH with what many scouts deem the system’s best curveball, Scarpetta has tremendous strikeout abilities.  His command is in question, though, as his SO/BB ratio fell to an abysmal 1.61 last year in double-A.

Prediction: Scarpetta’s prowess on the mound was supposed to make him a top-tier prospect a few years back.  His production has diminished, clearly, but I still see a ton of potential.  I look for him to start 2012 in double-A and ultimately reach triple-A sometime in mid-summer.

11. 1B Hunter Morris

With Prince Fielder gone, there’s never been a better time to be a first-base prospect in the Brewers’ system.  Consequently, things could (and will) be looking up for Hunter Morris.  In just two professional seasons, Morris has managed to tear his way through the system thanks in large part to his undeniable amount of power.  The Auburn product lit up opposing pitching in high-A ball early on in 2011 to the tune of 20 home runs, 69 RBI and a .461 slugging percentage, prompting a late-season promotion to double-A ball.  It should be interesting to see how Morris’ game translates to the upper levels of the minors, as pitching will become much more polished.

Prediction: If Mat Gamel struggles to replace Fielder this season, I think management will push Morris up to triple-A by the end of 2012.  Regardless, I look for him to end up in triple-A at season’s end.

10. RF Caleb Gindl

There aren’t many true power hitters within the Brewers organization, and none of them look to have a very high ceiling at that. Gindl, though, might be an exception to that fact.  At 23 years old and four solid professional seasons under his belt, Gindl is as prepared as he’ll ever be to break through to the majors in 2012, even if it means simply being an off-the-bench type player. He’s amassed at least 13 home runs and 60 RBI in three seasons down in the minors. Not terribly impressive, but it was enough for Milwaukee to add him to their 40-man roster.  Last season in triple-A, he maintained a .307/.390/.472 line with 15 home runs and 60 RBI.  Couple his slightly above-average power with a competent glove, and he could get a chance to platoon with a number of other players in Ryan Braun’s spot in left field.

Prediction: Gindl will come into spring training with a legitimate chance at making the opening-day 25-man roster.  And though nothing is for certain even in early February, I expect him to start his 2012 campaign in triple-A and wind up as a September call-up.

9. RHP Jorge Lopez

The Brewers were hell-bent on stockpiling young arms in last summer’s draft, and they managed to nab Jorge Lopez in the second-round.  He was the top rated prospect coming out of Puerto Rico and Milwaukee certainly liked what the youngster has to offer.  At 6’4″, 165 pounds, the 18-year-old right-hander has the size to be a durable mid-rotation starter at the big league level, though there’s no doubting he’ll need to pack on some strength as he moves his way through the organization.  His fastball tops out at the mid to low 90s and has a curveball that may develop into a plus-pitch.  Lopez does have command issues but that should be clear up in a timely fashion.  Last year in rookie ball he started four games and garnered a 2.25 ERA, striking out 10 and walking three in 12 innings.

Prediction: From what I’ve gathered, scouts are surprisingly high on Lopez and I anticipate him moving through the system swiftly.  I’ve had limited opportunities to watch highlights of his game, but when I’ve been able to break down his stuff, I think he’s got a tremendous amount of potential.  That said, I think he winds up in low-A ball for the entirety of 2012.

8. RHP Jimmy Nelson

Ever wondered what scouts mean by the “ideal frame” when talking about young pitchers?  One look at Jimmy Nelson will explain everything.  One of the cornerstone’s to Milwaukee’s 2010 draft, Nelson weighs in at 6’6″, 245 pounds and uses every ounce of his prototypical frame to his advantage.  He features a mid-90s four-seam fastball and a slider that’s arguably the best in the system, as well as a solid changeup that’s improved leaps and bounds over the past year.  Nelson spent his entire 2011 campaign in low-A ball, going 8-9 with a 4.38 ERA, 120 strikeouts in 146 innings.  He stumbled with walks, managing a 1.85 SO/BB ratio, however he held batters to a .260 BA.

Prediction:   It remains to be seen where he’ll start 2012, but my gut feeling tells me he’ll stay put.  Having said that, though, I have great confidence in Nelson to move his way up to double-A ball by the end of 2012, as he’s simply one of the most surefire pitching prospects the Brewers have seen in a while.

7. CF Logan Schafer

At 25 years old, Logan Scafer has been knocking on door to the majors for a while now.  And with Milwaukee’s current outfield situation, now will be his time to make an impression on the organization.  Drafted by the Brewers back in 2008, Schafer has proved to be the closest there is to a five-tool player in the system.  Last season, he batted .315 with five home runs, 43 RBI, 66 runs scored and 16 stolen bases.  He’s been a defensive wiz in the outfield, garnering a career .988 fielding percentage while commiting just seven errors.  Schafer’s capabilities merited a September call-up last fall, though he remained solely an off-the-bench player and was only allowed three plate appearances.

Prediction: Ryan Braun’s absence presents a perfect situation for Schafer to strut his stuff early on this season.  If he can impress Ron Roenicke during spring training, I think he could get a considerable amount of playing time.

6. 2B Scooter Gennett

Smaller players will always be subject to great amounts of skepticism, but Scooter Gennett has been able to prove his doubters wrong up to this point in his career.  In his first two professional seasons, the 21-year-old Florida State product has averaged a .304 BA, nine home runs, 53 RBI, 13 stolen bases and 81 runs scored per season through low-A and high-A ball. And while his stature would lead you to believe otherwise, he does have gap power, managing 59 total doubles and a .433 slugging percentage.  Originally drafted as a shortstop, Gennett now resides at second base, where he does have work to do, garnering a career .964 fielding percentage.

Prediction: Coming off a stellar Arizona Fall League showcase, Gennett’s stock is currently soaring.  Nevertheless, I still expect him to start 2012 in high-A ball and make the hardest jump to double-A ball sometime in June.

5. 3B Taylor Green

Taylor Green was one of the best hitters in the minors leagues last season, and there’s really not much more you need to know than that.  In 120 games at the triple-A level, Green dominated the Pacific Coast league to the tune of a .336 BA, 22 home runs and 88 RBI.  He led the organization in BA, on-base percentage (.412) and slugging percentage (.580), and was named the Brewers’ top positional prospect for 2011.  Thanks to Casey McGehee’s struggles, Green earned a September call-up last fall and found his way onto the field, amassing 10 hits in 37 at-bats during his time with the Brewers.

Prediction: The signing of Aramis Ramirez doesn’t bode well for Green, who was hoping for a shot at the starting position coming into the offseason.  I look for him to become an off-the-bench type player in his first full season with Milwaukee.

4. RHP Tyler Thornburg

In a farm system devoid of top-tier pitching talent, Tyler Thornburg has transformed into the complete pitcher the Brewers recognized when they took him 96th overall in the 2010 draft.  In his first two professional seasons, Thornburg has been a strikeout machine, punching out 198 batters in 160 innings, enough for a rather impressive 11.1 K/9 ratio.  He can run his fastball up to the mid-90s and has a curveball that has developed into his strikeout pitch.  Last season at high-A Brevard County, he went 3-6 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.  However, what’s most impressive is how he held batters to a remarkable .186 BA and .256 BABIP.

Prediction: In my eyes, Thornburg is in for a huge year.  He’s already proven to be competent at just about every facet of his craft, and he’s now ready to sprint through the system.  If he can cut down his walks — as I expect him to — I see him pushing for triple-A by season’s end.

3. LHP Jed Bradley

Jed Bradley was high on many teams’ draft boards last June, and needless to say, the Brewers were ecstatic that the exemplary left-hander fell to them at 15th overall.  In his junior season at Georgia Tech, Bradley went 7-3 with a 3.49 ERA, striking out 106 batters in just 98 innings.  He also held batters to a feeble .239 BA and, believe it or not, conceded just one home run to the opposition all season.  The 21-year-old southpaw has three credible pitches at his disposal and uses each to his liking.  He touched 94 MPH with his fastball, 83-84 MPH with his changeup at the Arizona Fall League last fall and also worked on polishing his low 80s slider.  He’s got a fluid throwing motion that needs little to no refinement,

Prediction: Rumor has it that Bradley will start 2012 at high-A Brevard County as he looks to speed through the system in the coming year(s).  I used parentheses because there’s some speculation that says he could see playing time in triple-A this season, though that doesn’t seem likely.  I look for him to strut his stuff at high-A ball and take his talents to double-A late next season.

2. RHP Taylor Jungmann

College baseball’s top player from a season ago will come into spring training with a surplus of hype, and deservedly so.  In his last season at Texas, Taylor Jungmann dominated the Big 12 and the rest of the country to the tune of a 13-3 record, minuscule 1.60 ERA, .165 BAA while striking out 126 batters in 141 innings of work.  He also posted a 0.83 WHIP and allowed just four home runs all season.  When the Brewers took him 12th overall in last June’s draft, it’s safe to say they found they’re ace of the future behind Yovani Gallardo.  Jungmann’s MLB ceiling is incredibly high and as we visited last month, I believe he has the most potential among all Brewers prospects.  His thin yet sustainable body has enabled his fastball to reach the 95-97 MPH range with great command.

Prediction: Word on the street says Jungmann will start 2012 in high-A ball, and all signs are pointing to him racing through the system.  If that’s the case, I think we could see him in double-A by season’s end.

1. RHP Wily Peralta

Wily Peralta’s journey through Milwaukee’s system has been well-documented, signing at the ripe age of 16.  Now at 22 years old and six professional seasons under his belt, he’s ready to contribute at the major league level.  Last season between double-A and triple-A ball, the 6’2″, 240-pound right-hander went a combined 11-7 with a solid 3.17 ERA.  He also struck out 157 in 150.2 innings, holding batters to a .233 BA in the meantime thanks to his mid-90s fastball and plus-average slider and changeup.  Brewers fans have awaited Peralta’s big-league debut for a while now, and all indications are that he’ll be on the opening day roster, most likely contributing out of the bullpen.

Prediction: While Peralta’s minor league days may be behind him, I don’t think we should expect him be a big contributor right out of the gates.  Nevertheless, I look for him to make at least one start for the Brewers by the end of 2012.


Alec Dopp covers the Milwaukee Brewers as a featured columnist at Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter @alecdopp and read his blog.

Top Milwaukee Brewers Prospects in Low Minors for 2012


Brewers outfield prospect Kentrail Davis could be in for a breakthrough season in 2012

Many of Major League Baseball’s top  prospects can be found at or near the top of many club’s minor league affiliates.  Double and Triple-A affiliates generally bear many of the most seasoned young talents down on the farm, and are consequentially much more likely to be promoted to the majors.

While that is largely the case with most organizations, a quantity of less developed prospects dwell in the lower ranks of minor-league systems.  Rookie, single-A and advanced-A affiliates can additionally garner any number of top prospects.  And even though these prospects are typically less tried, they are still of great importance to a major league club’s future.

Here are the Milwaukee Brewers’ top low (class-A, class-A advanced) minor league prospects for 2012.

RHP Jimmy Nelson

A second-round pick back in 2010, Nelson burst onto the scene in impressive fashion.  He posted a 3.71 ERA while striking out 33 in just 12 appearances (26.1 IP) with Helena in rookie ball.  He then followed up his first professional season by being promoted to single-A, where he went 8-9 while accruing a 4.38 ERA in 25 starts.  The power right-hander also managed 120 SO in 146.0 innings to go with an impressive 0.55 HR/9.

With the clear lack of pitching depth in Milwaukee’s system, Nelson has the opportunity to make massive strides next season, and could even make a double-A start by the end of 2012.

Baseball America ranks Nelson as the Brewers’ 10th overall prospect heading into next season, and additionally boasts the best slider among all pitchers in Milwaukee’s system.  I had the opportunity to speak with Nelson back in October.  You can view our entire conversation by clicking here.

RF Kentrail Davis

One of the more athletically gifted prospects in Milwaukee’s system, Davis has an undeniable amount of upside to his game.  He has not, however, proved to be as consistent as most would like to see in the batter’s box.

Taken with the 39th overall pick in 2009, Davis skipped rookie ball and went straight to single-A where he torched opposing pitching to the tune of a .335 BA, 3 HR and 46 RBI. Promoted to class-A advanced, the speedster finished out his 2010 campaign by batting .244 with no home runs and 17 RBI.

Last season, Davis flashed his struggles at the plate, batting just .245 in 132 games with Brevard County. However, his 33 stolen bases and 76 runs scored caught the eyes of many scouts.  He was able to reconcile his past woes at the 2011 Arizona Fall League, batting .325 with 12 RBI and a .429 OBP in 23 games.  If he’s able to carry that momentum into next season, he’ll be in triple-A in no time.

RHP Jorge Lopez

Overshadowed by Milwaukee’s two first-round sensations from last June’s draft — Taylor Jungmann and Jed Bradley –  the 18-year-old Lopez, a third-round pickup, put together an outstanding inaugural season.

In four starts in rookie ball, the third-round selection from last June garnered a 2.25 ERA, struck out 10 and held batters to a .265 BA in 12 innings of work.  Not a particularly rigorous test in his first taste of minor league ball, but it was enough for Baseball America to rank him as Milwaukee’s ninth overall prospect heading into this offseason.

Expect him to start 2012 in single-A and work his way up from there.  He clearly has all the potential in the world, now it’s time to see if he can put it all together in a full season of work

RHP Tyler Thornburg

Thornburg may be the closest there is to a sure thing in Milwaukee’s system — which isn’t saying much — making leaps and bounds down on the farm in less than two complete minor-league seasons.

With Helena back in 2010, the 5’11” 176-pound righty started six games, managing a 1.93 ERA while punching out 38 in 23.1 innings.

Management didn’t hesitate to promote the youngster to class-A at the beginning of last season, and it turned out to be the 23-year-old’s coming-out party. In 12 starts, Thornburg posted a staggering 1.57 ERA while holding batters to a .200 BA, striking out 76 in the meantime.

He struggled somewhat in 12 class-A advanced starts toward the end of last season (3-6, 3.57 ERA, 33 BB), but there’s no questioning his raw talent.  Look for the Tim Lincecum-esque youngster to start next season in class-A advanced and attempt to move up to double-A by the end of the season.

RHP Taylor Jungmann

The Brewers nabbed college baseball’s top player from last season with the 12th overall selection in last June’s draft, and the good news is, he’s ready to make an immediate impact.

Last season, Jungmann cruised to a 13-3 overall record while hoarding a 1.60 ERA, .165 BAA and amassing 126 strikeouts in 141 innings of work with Texas. He’s shown the ability to consistently go deep into games throughout his collegiate career thanks to an outstanding fastball-curve-changeup combination.

There’s an outside chance the 21-year-old sensation could start his 2012 campaign in double-A, but at the very least he’s set to begin his season in class-A advanced ball.  Ideally, the Brewers would like to keep youngster in the minors for no more than three seasons, best-case scenario being a September call-up in 2014.

LHP Jed Bradley

The fact that Bradley has yet to make a professional appearance is already a top prospect speaks volumes about his skill-set.

Last June’s 15th overall selection went 7-3 in 16 starts with Georgia Tech, collecting 106 strikeouts and an outstanding 0.09 HR/9 in 98.0 inning of work. He got some experience under his belt in this fall’s Arizona Fall League but is still extremely raw and will need time to get acclimated with the minor-league pace.  Many expect him to make the transition in a timely fashion.

The Brewers have announced he will start his 2012 campaign in class-A advanced ball.

SS Yadiel Rivera

Not many 19-year-old prospects garner reputations as an organization’s top defensive infielder. Then again, not many prospects are like Rivera.

Drafted fresh out of high school in 2010, Rivera’s exceptional glove aptitude and skill-set were enough for Baseball American to rank the youngster as Milwaukee’s top overall infielder heading into this offseason. Keep in mind he’s spent his entire professional career in rookie and single-A ball.

While his glove is a once-in-a-lifetime asset, his bat has yet to approach its potential.

His debut in 2010 consisted of a .209 BA, no home runs, 22 runs scored and 23 RBI in rookie ball. He followed that up by batting a combined .236, 9 HR, 43 RBI and seven stolen bases between rookie and class-A last season.  Plate discipline will be a stressing point for Rivera moving forward. If he can clean up his act there, we could see him in a Brewer uniform by 2014.

Follow Alec Dopp on Twitter @alecdopp.